President Trump’s Still-Stubborn Approval Rating

On May 18 I said here that President Trump was teetering on the edge of a political cliff, and that if obstruction of justice was proved beyond a reasonable doubt that Trump should go – period, end of story. And in less than a week, the “evidence” appears to continue to mount against him. But can we trust the Mainstream Media’s reporting on said “evidence”?

Trump is a walking contradiction, and if you are a Never Trumper it is a difficult dynamic to swallow. As outlined in the May 18th post cited above, for every “smoking gun” statement there is a corresponding statement on the flip-side; so while difficult to analyze, it is utterly disingenuous to only emphasize Side A if there is a corresponding Side B. But of course, that is what the Mainstream Media is doing.

Take the title of this recent Axios article for example: “Report: Trump asked intel chiefs to deny evidence of Russia collusion.” Think about it – this title implies Trump asked Intel chiefs to lie about known evidence. A “yuge” deal. But if you dig into the associated Washington Post article, you will find the following quote:

“In his call with Rogers, Trump urged the NSA director to speak out publicly if there was no evidence of collusion, according to officials briefed on the exchange.”


So conclusion #1: If the aggregate body of evidence was put on the table, my guess is that we would see a mosh pit of contradictions, line flirting, and overall jostling for position by the Trump Administration and the Intel Community. Neither side is innocent; and both should, frankly, SHUT THE ___ UP.

The way to analyze Trump is to follow what he does, not what he says. He said he wanted a “complete” ban of Muslims; he instead proposed a temporary, country-specific travel ban on countries the federal government deemed an above-average security threat. He said he would rip up trade agreements; he instead has entered into balanced negotiations with key trading partners. He said he respects Putin; he instead disrespected Putin on the world stage by launching rockets under his nose in Syria. He said he would be honored to have a face-to-face with the North Korean Fat Man; he instead has put the developed world on high alert with regard to the North Korean threat. He said he wanted all Americans to have healthcare insurance; he instead is proposing cuts to projected Medicaid spending.

* * * * * * * * * * * *

Part 2 of this short post is a quick analysis of the “market” that is the sentiment toward President Trump.

If Trump’s approval rating is his “stock price”, my April 7 post made a poor short-term call, predicting that it would rise to YTD highs on the back of the West Wing restructuring an decisive action taken in Syria. On April 7 Trump’s Gallup approval rating was 40%; and while it did go on to rise to 43% on April 19, it has since fallen to 38% today.

But as I outlined in a May 4 post, when the price of a stock fails to break down to new lows upon the announcement of seemingly more negative news, chances are high the stock is done falling. So while anyone not living under a political rock would acknowledge that the news flow over the last two weeks appears to be the most negative to-date for the Trump Administration…the fact that Trump’s approval rating failed to break to new lows is extremely telling. And with all due respect to the New York Times – which, unlike what Trump would lead you to believe, is the best political newspaper in America – it is articles and titles like the following that are contributing heavily to the staunch defense of President Trump and corresponding mistrust of the media’s coverage of him: “Will the Presidency Survive This President?”

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